Saidmark

projected stat lines, any line you name, and what we said

Saidmark projects NFL player stat lines — receptions, receiving yards, rushing, passing — as full distributions, not single numbers. Every player gets a projection, a floor and a ceiling, and the probability of clearing any line you type.

The part nobody else does: we keep the receipts. Every number is locked before kickoff and graded after, in public, misses included.

The record starts September 9

The archive begins with the first 2026 kickoff. From then on, every page here shows what we said before the game next to what actually happened — locked, never revised.

Projections are statistical estimates, not betting advice. Data from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).